This will likely lastly be the 12 months we see some new chunky rockets take flight

The Falcon Heavy rocket is the most recent heavy-lift booster to debut, and that was more than three years ago.

Enlarge / The Falcon Heavy rocket is the newest heavy-lift booster to debut, and that was greater than three years in the past. (credit score: Trevor Mahlmann / Ars Technica)

A bit greater than three years in the past, Ars printed an article assessing the potential for 4 massive rockets to make their debut in 2020. Spoiler alert: none of them made it. None even made it in 2021. So will subsequent 12 months lastly be the 12 months for a few of them?

Most likely. Perhaps. We positive hope so.

On the time of the older article’s publication, July 2018, 4 heavy-lift rockets nonetheless had scheduled launch dates for 2020—the European House Company’s Ariane 6, NASA’s House Launch System, Blue Origin’s New Glenn, and United Launch Alliance’s Vulcan rocket. The article estimated the precise launch dates, predicting that Europe’s Ariane 6 could be the one rocket to make a launch try in 2020. All 4 of the expected launch dates proved overly optimistic, alas.

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